Extraneous-Truth
0x997ef486d2a5513069bf4aa089e6293e56297e58
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$436.61
Total PnL
$-293.92
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?
283 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$270.54
$1.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 25?
113 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$112.57
$3.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 26?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$16.70
$-0.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 25?
10 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$9.99
$1.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 25?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$9.98
$0.39
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 15.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.71
$3.71
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$0.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.54
$-0.46
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$15.96May 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$7.16May 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$6.01May 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$21.48May 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$9.04May 25, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$34.53May 25, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?$3.23May 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$19.95May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$7.96May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$14.29May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$9.61May 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$16.17May 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$52.75May 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 26?$4.38May 25, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 26?$8.76May 25, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?$156.65May 25, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 26?$4.38May 25, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 25?$8.97May 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 25?$9.61May 25, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?$8.56May 25, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".