Concrete-Incubation
0x99880c76f00183534dc126ce0faa18083254b28e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$64.79
Total PnL
$-222.03
Realised
$4.09
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$11.69
$1.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.89
$-2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?
53 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.60
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.37
$-0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.88
$0.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.83
$0.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.14
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.08
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.05
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.88
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$23.18May 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?$0.57May 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$3.15May 20, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?$0.62May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$8.77May 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$2.51May 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 21?$1.30May 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?$0.52May 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$1.61May 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 21?$3.10May 20, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$1.65May 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$0.40May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?$3.10May 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$1.60May 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$0.20May 20, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$0.41May 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$4.80May 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 20?$1.00May 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$1.00May 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 20?$0.83May 19, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".