0x9b3f3606cf5dce0bec8101b6c4d089caa8060fa5
0x9b3f3606cf5dce0bec8101b6c4d089caa8060fa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$384.63
Total PnL
$-207.30
Realised
$3.58
Win rate
71%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
66 shares @ 26.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.90
$-0.77
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
63 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.21
$-9.46
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
16 shares @ 36.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.98
$2.06
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
26 shares @ 24.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$7.78
$1.66
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
34 shares @ 17.5¢·now 19.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.64
$0.70
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 28.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.58
$-2.20
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
18 shares @ 31.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.53
$0.98
- YES
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
47 shares @ 35.6¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.49
$-10.27
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
18 shares @ 34.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.39
$0.44
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
100 shares @ 23.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$-17.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$6.18May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$6.27May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$0.29May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$4.14May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$16.92May 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.74May 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.25May 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.09May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.58May 16, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$1.10May 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.97May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$8.32May 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$8.70May 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$2.47May 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.11May 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.20May 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$0.19May 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.03May 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$8.17May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$7.68May 13, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".