Dutiful-Cartload
0x9b5dc8793a43f26295a0c8eec3e58b041989fbb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$96.27
Realised
$283.72
Win rate
81%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
471 shares @ 71.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$395.81
$57.84
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
240 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.00
$22.80
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
191 shares @ 72.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.20
$22.33
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
220 shares @ 67.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.51
$2.79
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
190 shares @ 32.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.74
$16.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
79 shares @ 50.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.10
$36.20
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
83 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.47
$6.22
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
80 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.60
$10.80
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 47.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.72
$23.72
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
50 shares @ 82.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.40
$7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$13.50May 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$4.02May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$1.00May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$14.86May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$5.00May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$0.33May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$7.63May 18, 03:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$5.21May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$1.66May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$1.66May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$1.20May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$0.67May 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$0.47May 17, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$34.00May 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?$3.23May 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?$0.47May 17, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?$2.70May 17, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$8.00May 17, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".