Baggy-Square
0x9b8bfb253899f13d35f38a05cab3622d6013713b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$55.38
Total PnL
$-55.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 39.5¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.65
$-2.10
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
100 shares @ 16.5¢·now 10.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.35
$-6.15
- YES
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.20
$-10.20
- YES
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.52
$1.75
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$-0.68
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.80
$-3.40
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.56
$-8.84
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.38
$-3.63
- YES
Major US official out by May 31?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$-3.56
- YES
Major US official out by April 30?
39 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.06May 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?$4.74May 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.86May 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.99May 6, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.87May 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$5.28May 6, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.39May 5, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$9.80May 1, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.00May 1, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.00May 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.25May 1, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by May 15?$0.00Apr 29, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$5.00Apr 29, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor US official out by May 31?$4.88Apr 29, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.68Apr 29, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$5.27Apr 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?$5.20Apr 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$5.20Apr 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.00Apr 29, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.82Apr 29, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".