Crowded-Abolishment
0x9c6f80b8555f6723f252246ff39219de5ff6d83f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$824.67
Total PnL
$-786.84
Realised
$-91.96
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
193 shares @ 82.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$184.77
$24.77
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
163 shares @ 47.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.01
$81.01
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
84 shares @ 77.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$77.49
$12.49
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
208 shares @ 26.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$57.30
$2.30
- NO
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
59 shares @ 85.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$54.20
$4.20
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$34.09
$4.09
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
48 shares @ 52.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.92
$6.92
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?
53 shares @ 37.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$28.06
$8.06
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$27.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
66 shares @ 45.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.19
$-5.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$100.00Apr 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$50.00Apr 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?$30.00Apr 9, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$10.00Apr 9, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$10.00Apr 9, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$25.00Apr 9, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$10.00Apr 9, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$30.00Apr 9, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$10.00Apr 9, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$5.00Apr 9, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$50.00Apr 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$30.00Apr 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$10.00Apr 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$50.00Apr 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$30.00Apr 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$20.00Apr 9, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$420.59Apr 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.00Apr 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$4.00Apr 7, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".