Vapid-Workshop
0x9ca119b8cd7bdb890aecf1ff3b0f6e3a45cc13b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$120.3K
Total PnL
$-24.8K
Realised
$6.0K
Win rate
63%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
13253 shares @ 85.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.4K
$1.0K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
9484 shares @ 86.4¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.2K
$976.05
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
9000 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.5K
$523.66
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
10129 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.6K
$1.0K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9759 shares @ 58.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$1.1K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
14313 shares @ 44.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$-104.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
4772 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$503.99
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
4589 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.4K
$8.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
4000 shares @ 92.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.8K
$130.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3800 shares @ 88.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.6K
$253.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$3.33May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$57.64May 18, 03:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.59May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.54May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$17.54May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1.9KMay 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$424.00May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$8.04May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$140.00May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$43.00May 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$24.84May 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$14.99May 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.06May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$58.10May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$60.67May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$424.90May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$19.84May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$20.49May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$20.73May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.36May 17, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $91.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".