Bumpy-Gathering
0x9cf6c12ba5927d43e9297006a438d2af0af5559d
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$24.0K
Total PnL
$256.82
Realised
$42.34
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.0K
$9.0K
- NO
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
1108 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$-1.14
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-9.0K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
891 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$891.00
$89.00
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
355 shares @ 62.9¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$306.36
$83.08
- NO
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
262 shares @ 85.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$255.45
$31.95
- NO
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?
301 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$245.19
$-19.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
256 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.00
$19.20
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
224 shares @ 61.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$191.70
$54.10
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3072 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$167.42
$-0.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.20May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$24.40May 8, 11:24 UTC
- YIELD$2.20May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.90May 7, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $37.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".