Improbable-Medium
0x9d2f6ed483ac90fe647e069b0589939161440dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.18
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET
16 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.23
$-0.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.48
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.48
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET
59 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-26.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
53 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-23.73
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
48 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
48 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
47 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
47 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
46 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.45May 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.10May 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.35May 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.45May 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.45May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.00May 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.45May 18, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.45May 18, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET$2.61May 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET$2.40May 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.45May 18, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$5.00May 18, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$5.00May 18, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.45May 18, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET$1.03May 18, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".