Bowed-Expansion
0x9e2bade08f2d8b1e0a9dc0b09155b73ebf2c8fa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$118.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
560 shares @ 46.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$347.20
$89.70
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
350 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.46
$31.46
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.98
$1.96
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
300 shares @ 37.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$214.50
$103.50
- NO
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
421 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.55
$14.73
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
235 shares @ 43.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$177.43
$76.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
306 shares @ 39.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$172.86
$53.64
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.38
$-32.48
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
440 shares @ 46.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.20
$-46.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$133.24
$33.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by April 29?$0.00May 10, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$0.00May 10, 22:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$212.99May 9, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$2.50May 6, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $72.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".