Insubstantial-Coffee
0x9e88f359b9803e41420fbb13385c5ae1765c301c
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$-758.39
Realised
$-108.15
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?
3000 shares @ 71.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.2K
$3.11
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?
3000 shares @ 47.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.1K
$633.24
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?
2200 shares @ 74.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.7K
$86.97
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.5K
$30.00
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?
1000 shares @ 55.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$564.89
$12.04
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by June 30?
580 shares @ 22.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$333.50
$205.90
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
600 shares @ 35.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$297.00
$83.61
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by June 30?
340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$246.50
$76.50
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $41.5B by June 30?
750 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.75
$33.75
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
151 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$88.17
$2.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?$1.5KMay 20, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?$562.74May 20, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cherlynn Stevenson be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?$300.00May 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?$2.2KMay 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?$1.7KMay 20, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by June 30?$173.40May 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by June 30?$131.58May 20, 10:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.34May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.26May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$90.25May 19, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$12.00May 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$3.00May 19, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?$1.80May 19, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?$1.80May 19, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $153.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".