Determined-Gear
0x9f086ae32344b489a004109f06fced08154273a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$54.3K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
70%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
8048 shares @ 59.1¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.9K
$-851.63
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2910 shares @ 91.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$149.89
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3300 shares @ 80.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$33.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
5983 shares @ 41.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$-451.21
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3117 shares @ 64.5¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-9.40
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
2201 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$33.54
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1701 shares @ 83.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$104.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
3185 shares @ 48.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$-150.85
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1419 shares @ 91.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$88.87
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1500 shares @ 85.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$135.99May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.70May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$0.29May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$8.70May 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$63.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$145.35May 18, 00:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.52May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$0.26May 18, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.89May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$0.27May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$12.07May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$6.22May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$134.33May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.32May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.33May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.17May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.91May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.75May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.97May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.17May 17, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $70.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".