Heavy-Retreat
0x9f45fde63a1b705775b0f9039e41ef7b2aef46b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$99.90
Total PnL
$-23.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 26?
111 shares @ 90.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$99.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?
5660 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 30?
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- MAVERICKS
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 26?$100.50May 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on March 30?$2.30Mar 30, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?$5.66Mar 28, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-2.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.92Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.96Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.00Nov 11, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Jazz$1.00Nov 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-7.5)$1.00Nov 11, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.00Nov 11, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".