Reasonable-Divine
0x9f956620db25c74895fd9d131bf99ec6a9b37c6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$79.32
Total PnL
$-218.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
217 shares @ 59.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.32
$-50.68
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
589 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
154 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.35May 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$132.09May 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$100.00Feb 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$50.00Jan 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$2.00Jan 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$2.00Jan 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$2.00Jan 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 27, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$27.00Jan 11, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$100.00Jan 2, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$632.91Jan 2, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00Dec 12, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00Dec 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.89Dec 10, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.83Dec 10, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$0.00Dec 10, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$0.00Dec 10, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".