Outlying-Van
0x9fab3cd6d7f97cae00d9fb1ce657bb4ae53a6e44
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$564.61
Total PnL
$-0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$353.20
$118.17
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$116.81
$-118.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.49
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.77
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.80
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.70
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.50
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?$8.80May 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?$7.50May 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?$7.50May 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22?$8.80May 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?$6.50May 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 22?$6.20May 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?$9.80May 22, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?$7.70May 22, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?$9.50May 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 22?$8.30May 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 23?$6.30May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?$7.80May 22, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?$9.12May 21, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 21?$9.13May 21, 07:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?$9.01May 20, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?$9.00May 20, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?$9.10May 20, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 21?$9.10May 20, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".