Humble-Vestment
0x9fd4ca44be6bf74afc5987aa5b4305f5f748325c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.1K
Total PnL
$235.32
Realised
$29.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
9463 shares @ 64.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$-529.23
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5717 shares @ 86.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$528.61
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1727 shares @ 86.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.7K
$190.52
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1423 shares @ 85.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$167.09
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
1318 shares @ 86.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-0.04
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1190 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$29.76
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
1075 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.0K
$10.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1311 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$996.35
$65.55
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1122 shares @ 89.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$970.15
$-29.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
1314 shares @ 76.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$873.52
$-126.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.1KMay 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$200.77May 16, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$90.32May 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$200.80May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$50.86May 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$152.41May 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$355.88May 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$508.41May 9, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.0KMay 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.8KMay 7, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.3KMay 6, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$607.23May 4, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$506.11May 4, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.0KMay 4, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$165.74May 4, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$466.10May 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$893.16May 4, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$71.18May 2, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$70.46May 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$0.85May 1, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $386.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".