0xa04a739c8ebcc907abaef05cf3b08b6b342b6bf2
0xa04a739c8ebcc907abaef05cf3b08b6b342b6bf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$665.80
Total PnL
$-336.90
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
2045 shares @ 40.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$582.59
$-240.06
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
261 shares @ 38.1¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$55.83
$-43.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
73 shares @ 5.5¢·now 17.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.98
$8.98
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
288 shares @ 11.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.75
$-29.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
93 shares @ 6.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.92
$-3.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
244 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.81
$-11.83
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.80
$-10.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.11
$-1.89
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.98
$-3.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.11May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.10May 17, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$29.65May 15, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$33.57May 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.99May 15, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.39May 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.17May 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.53May 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.43May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.18May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$55.81May 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$56.85May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$11.29May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$30.91May 15, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$103.41May 15, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$21.20May 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$15.43May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.08May 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$65.06May 13, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".