Upbeat-Politician
0xa054a910cff3f6d3503335577f12d68a169aa95d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$435.37
Total PnL
$-213.06
Realised
$-0.81
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?
394 shares @ 89.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$350.36
$-3.19
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
61 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$48.10
$1.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?
30 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$22.95
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?
29 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.41
$-0.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 22?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.55
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
131 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-51.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 11?
128 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 13?
81 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?
80 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$99.50May 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$36.56May 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$173.68May 20, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$13.60May 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?$23.10May 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$1.42May 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?$9.59May 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$21.84May 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$8.40May 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 22?$5.31May 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$47.42May 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$7.00May 18, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$5.76May 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 19?$5.51May 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 19?$56.01May 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 19?$30.36May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$3.62May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$10.00May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$7.33May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$5.27May 17, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".