Drafty-Native
0xa102b434ce441a3119e146f75ed6276ee1a836d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$144.1K
Total PnL
$102.89
Realised
$-118.10
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
141849 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$115.4K
$44.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
141536 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.4K
$-44.4K
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
2322 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$117.24
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.98
$0.19
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?
7 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.84
$0.17
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 39.1¢·now 47.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.76
$0.86
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
3 shares @ 3.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$2.91
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
3 shares @ 25.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.89
$2.14
- NO
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$-0.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 0.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.36
$0.35
Recent activity
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.0KMay 18, 14:14 UTC
- YIELD$26.50May 18, 00:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.0KMay 17, 04:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.76May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$27.18May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$14.63May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$152.00May 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.5KMay 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.2KMay 16, 18:37 UTC
- MERGEWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$1.00May 16, 14:14 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.0KMay 16, 14:14 UTC
- YIELD$27.59May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$27.59May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$27.59May 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 5, 2026?$0.00May 13, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $562.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".