Aware-Allergist
0xa120b3d3835de85f33b29e76cfd427d8bcc4e746
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-3.95
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.13
$-0.00
- NO
Will "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 May 11-17?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the fight end in a draw?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Back To Friends by sombr be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.48May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$1.00May 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.15May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 May 11-17?$4.97May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.30May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 May 11-17?$6.00May 15, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$1.08Apr 22, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?$1.15Apr 22, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?$8.27Apr 22, 05:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.48Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?$1.35Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?$2.50Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- SPLITWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?$8.27Apr 8, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$11.27Apr 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$12.35Apr 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$12.35Apr 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$13.47Apr 8, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?$1.01Apr 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.03Apr 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.04Apr 8, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".