Glorious-Muffin
0xa184da36213294d0e5f7b13b2f306ae6b5785740
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$43.98
Total PnL
$-14.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.76
$2.76
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-1.07
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-1.10
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$-1.38
- YES
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
62 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$-0.78
- YES
Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$2.03May 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$2.31May 23, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$2.06May 23, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?$2.07May 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$2.07May 23, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.05May 22, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$2.04May 22, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.34May 22, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.98May 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$5.00May 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$5.00May 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 9, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$10.35May 9, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00May 9, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.20May 9, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$23.81May 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$2.82Apr 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$5.00Apr 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".