Reasonable-Leg
0xa1daaeec64247b566b2a3b69c1fd7a338d122edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$206.87
Total PnL
$-76.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
224 shares @ 44.6¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.77
$0.77
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
86 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.43
$-5.57
- YES
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
113 shares @ 44.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.98
$-28.02
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.20
$-30.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 22.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.50
$-12.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$153.30Apr 3, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$121.88Mar 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$123.00Mar 20, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$113.83Mar 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$60.00Mar 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$50.00Mar 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$100.00Mar 8, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$92.55Mar 7, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$0.00Mar 5, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$0.00Mar 5, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$50.00Mar 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?$50.00Feb 28, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$98.80Feb 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$50.00Jan 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$40.00Jan 15, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $62.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".