Deadly-Premise
0xa288476992285ab1535a19ff5cb5c31d494bf80f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$280.02
Total PnL
$195.37
Realised
$43.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
316 shares @ 6.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$88.52
$67.22
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
96 shares @ 21.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.26
$34.16
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
91 shares @ 45.2¢·now 53.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$48.46
$7.11
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$39.92
$17.92
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
157 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$24.38
$14.94
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
40 shares @ 18.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$17.86
$10.34
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$5.49
$1.49
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$4.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$16.74May 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$1.33May 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$3.48May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.74May 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$16.34May 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.37May 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$0.63May 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.58May 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$0.30May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$0.30May 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.89May 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.73May 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$4.80May 10, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$8.06May 10, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$15.55May 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.26May 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?$0.21May 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$16.94May 5, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$2.40May 5, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".