Defiant-Gamebird
0xa34429d549f23fe45a9ca5442b79b365cd2f8141
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-338.18
Realised
$32.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2500 shares @ 46.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$-107.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$745.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
316 shares @ 32.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$241.69
$138.23
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?
843 shares @ 36.3¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$160.10
$-146.10
- YES
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
80 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.40
$3.60
- NO
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
100 shares @ 6.6¢·now 47.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.35
$40.76
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
600 shares @ 26.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.01
$-122.51
- YES
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
110 shares @ 37.3¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.50
$-13.50
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?
250 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.72
$-44.27
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
200 shares @ 19.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-29.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$0.00May 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$69.30May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 16?$21.70May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$96.19May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$346.50May 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$342.00May 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$230.00May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$228.00May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$215.60May 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$175.95May 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$17.64May 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$52.00May 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$75.43May 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$138.60May 13, 01:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.10May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$47.00May 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$16.17May 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$24.02May 12, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$11.60May 12, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$121.11May 12, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $157.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".