0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e
0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$12.67
Realised
$123.44
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 7.1¢·now 9.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$283.50
$69.34
- NO
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
313 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.3¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$272.68
$116.42
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.00
$29.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$124.88
$-17.63
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
350 shares @ 30.1¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$110.42
$4.93
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
150 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$98.25
$-5.25
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 36.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.00
$21.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
666 shares @ 34.2¢·now 12.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$84.92
$-143.08
- YES
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
2012 shares @ 9.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.34
$-135.49
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$53.50
$5.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$0.88May 16, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$73.84May 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $3.74May 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $34.62May 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$21.58May 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $1.64May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$24.00May 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$2.47May 14, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$500.00May 14, 16:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".