0xa38ac12ecf2ade801b4a8c46d689e01a2949495f
0xa38ac12ecf2ade801b4a8c46d689e01a2949495f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$180.11
Total PnL
$-119.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1181 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.13
$-52.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1681 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.60
$2.66
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
152 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.29
$1.29
- YES
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?
408 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.22
$1.27
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1421 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.66
$0.71
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
41 shares @ 24.1¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.05
$0.10
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1244 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.33
$-0.62
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.12
$-0.83
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
36 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.05May 18, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$0.00May 18, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$0.00May 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$8.06May 18, 06:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?$11.36May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$6.06May 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.06May 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?$5.08May 17, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.13May 17, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$57.47May 17, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".