Grounded-Concept
0xa39ac2f06d203f3d2a612c6de606a640d3ca980d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-490.03
Realised
$4.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
294 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$273.42
$-1.94
- NO
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?
305 shares @ 94.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$271.45
$-17.30
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
205 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$185.53
$-5.13
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
168 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$157.67
$1.43
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
170 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$145.35
$-11.05
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
137 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$129.97
$4.00
- YES
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
109 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$104.48
$3.11
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
106 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$90.63
$-5.83
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
90 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$84.15
$1.35
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.70
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$60.36May 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$153.89May 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$182.80May 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$93.26May 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$93.09May 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$97.83May 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$48.54May 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$144.47May 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$0.82May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?$195.14May 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?$94.23May 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$67.22May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$50.64May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$419.31May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$145.49May 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$29.76May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?$101.36May 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$96.46May 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$110.82May 16, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$37.00May 16, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $88.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".