Vague-Socks
0xa3ff29e34b23b468b4ff5dbba28ad9e56bcd540e
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$364.4K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$725.92
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
162721 shares @ 87.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.4K
$13.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
108593 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.8K
$6.3K
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
75072 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.6K
$3.7K
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
53558 shares @ 94.5¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.2K
$-31.4K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
10446 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.3K
$289.77
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
1126 shares @ 80.8¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$115.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$27.5KMay 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.3KMay 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$13.1KMay 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.4KMay 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$6.2KMay 15, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$100.22May 15, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.2KApr 3, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$4.2KApr 3, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.6KApr 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$4.6KApr 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.1KApr 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$2.1KApr 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.6KApr 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.6KApr 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.5KApr 3, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$5.5KApr 3, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$60.1KApr 1, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$7.0KApr 1, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.0KApr 1, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $31.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".