Loud-Caviar
0xa47f4da1d31ead96c4d67baca2ac11a064a4571b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.18
Total PnL
$-11.19
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
25 shares @ 2.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.45
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
25 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.45
$0.07
- NO
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?
5 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.37
$-0.02
- YES
Will Asaad Alnajjar finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
25 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.13
$-0.20
- NO
Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.50B?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.12
$0.02
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
25 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.55
- NO
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
17 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.01
$-0.41
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
8 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 16, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.42May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.18May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?$1.30May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.77May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$1.95May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$2.25May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$2.87May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$3.25May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?$3.28May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$42.79May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNick Fuentes federally charged?$1.44May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?$0.48May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$6.10May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$6.92May 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?$3.15May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$43.80May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.20May 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$29.00May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$28.69May 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$0.20May 17, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".