Fumbling-Thinking
0xa549adfa6e2271c0b85e3b8f3b4f8265fe0ad839
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$20.81
Total PnL
$-568.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.88
$6.88
- YES
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
19 shares @ 10.3¢·now 33.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.44
$4.44
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.23
$-1.77
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.02
$-1.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
867 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.72May 17, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$7.89May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?$30.50May 12, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$89.29May 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$3.07May 11, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?$3.07May 11, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.07May 11, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.06May 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?$5.12May 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$50.66May 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.26May 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.07May 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.63May 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.28May 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.20May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$13.82May 9, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?$18.52May 9, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$23.85May 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$7.06Apr 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Apr 15, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".