Frail-Plier
0xa5551bad626b0b1078661c36772849d2d3b681a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.98
Total PnL
$-15.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.56
$-1.90
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 20?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 20?
123 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?
514 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.26
$-1.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 20?
211 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
28 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?$0.84May 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?$1.05May 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?$1.04May 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?$1.05May 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 20?$1.05May 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$5.19May 20, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$10.51May 20, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$22.43May 17, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$0.00May 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$15.89May 11, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$11.70May 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$4.21Apr 30, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$5.00Apr 26, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 26, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$5.00Apr 26, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".