Insecure-Bud
0xa59812a5fa433031c68f7655ec1823d03e592ff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$93.16
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$171.54
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
39 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$38.80
$1.47
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 44.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.77
$-6.37
- YES
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
139 shares @ 52.7¢·now 9.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.32
$-59.79
- NO
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.50
$-40.50
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
18 shares @ 48.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.76
$-3.02
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.50
$0.50
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.88
$-12.13
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
50 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.57
$-0.17
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?
49 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.05
$-3.74
- NO
Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
1003 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$106.09May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$11.91May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$7.96May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$53.04May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$62.00May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$5.00May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$21.87May 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$15.46May 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$0.75May 20, 04:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.37May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.57May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$28.88May 19, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$9.12May 19, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$32.17May 19, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$22.38May 19, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$49.53May 19, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$13.61May 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$1.47May 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$52.49May 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$52.90May 19, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".