Clumsy-Supply
0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$237.1K
Total PnL
$-27.0K
Realised
$12.5K
Win rate
78%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
36000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.4K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
34969 shares @ 80.7¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.1K
$923.78
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
114499 shares @ 31.6¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.9K
$-8.3K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
15000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.6K
$909.86
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500849 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.3K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
23979 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.3K
$119.90
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
123818 shares @ 14.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.8K
$-6.5K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
10500 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.0K
$397.51
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
20109 shares @ 11.1¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.4K
$7.1K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
9128 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.8K
$339.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.47May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.27May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.27May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.17May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.11May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.18May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04May 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.33May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.87May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.25May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.46May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.13May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.16May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.39May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.00May 18, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".