Complex-Expansionism
0xa6f2b401c3afaaf98b3c9781a5bdfd0068551255
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$960.29
Total PnL
$64.81
Realised
$229.59
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$206.00
$134.00
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
45637 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.37
$27.75
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1150 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.07
$5.17
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$87.00
$3.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.95
$-15.95
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.80
$-55.20
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$46.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.50
$-55.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
800 shares @ 24.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.60
$-159.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$108.00May 8, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$185.00May 6, 11:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$96.00May 5, 10:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.63May 4, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $15.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".