Considerate-Wiseguy
0xa6fb9d84f8a48982dd5c5735eb10e01795b4554c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$132.13
Total PnL
$-280.05
Realised
$18.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.20
$12.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.23
$9.23
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
184 shares @ 3.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.24
$5.51
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
145 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.01
$1.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.63
$-4.38
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
48 shares @ 4.1¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.80
$2.80
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
21 shares @ 23.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$4.57
$-0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$13.16May 18, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.11May 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.09May 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.00May 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.50May 17, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$4.17May 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$10.27May 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.05May 17, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$3.14May 17, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$28.93May 17, 09:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$39.81May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.76May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".