Absolute-Parachute
0xa74b4d6bc17e266b92c05c6009c4e790e2ce31b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$21.5K
Total PnL
$736.61
Realised
$166.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
4351 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.3K
$45.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4599 shares @ 67.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.3K
$1.2K
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
2500 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.3K
$24.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$34.16
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
1459 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$21.02
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
1300 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$140.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.0K
$71.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$986.89
$11.93
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 66.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$754.99
$90.00
- NO
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?
667 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$629.96
$39.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$209.49May 18, 04:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.52May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$7.00May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$7.00May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$475.00May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$438.50May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$8.00May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$47.43May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$47.37May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$350.00May 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$300.00May 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$56.74May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$437.97May 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$35.03May 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$180.00May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$435.31May 17, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $204.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".