Vapid-Discussion
0xa7572021ecc1fab253fd8023d7b99f464cfbf01f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$326.04
Total PnL
$-974.56
Realised
$48.96
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
733 shares @ 29.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$208.90
$-7.86
- YES
US military draft authorized in 2026?
750 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.50
$3.50
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$27.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026
101 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.23
$2.11
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.10
$1.20
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
2 shares @ 69.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.30
$-0.84
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
84748 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-149.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
9293 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-715.48
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$5.38May 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$52.00May 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$19.42May 10, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$34.86May 7, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$5.80May 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$182.27May 5, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released by June 30?$29.50May 5, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$23.30May 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$58.74May 3, 17:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $322.12Apr 30, 23:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $208.13Apr 29, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$320.49Apr 29, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $89.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".