Likely-Frenzy
0xa7a665c57429421609bd15972d5e2a60b8bbefdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$672.13
Total PnL
$23.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
268 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$247.60
$-2.40
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.18
$10.18
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
112 shares @ 70.3¢·now 76.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.86
$6.86
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
88 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.68
$-1.32
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
68 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
526 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.00
$5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
44 shares @ 7.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$11.66
$8.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$60.00May 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$100.00May 14, 05:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$109.85May 6, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $73.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".