Adolescent-Guilty
0xa84f6eac41dcefff5c8f59b28fcaa31af9dcbc44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$246.10
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
2807 shares @ 34.6¢·now 72.4¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$2.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
1778 shares @ 26.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
2159 shares @ 16.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$978.09
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5318 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$608.87
$-122.12
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1012 shares @ 43.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$581.99
$145.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1954 shares @ 44.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$556.72
$-308.33
- NO
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
660 shares @ 44.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$471.56
$178.15
- NO
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?
462 shares @ 57.7¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$420.75
$154.37
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1979 shares @ 34.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$375.95
$-313.63
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
446 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$269.77
$-6.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.59May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$3.44May 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$11.19May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$6.53May 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.72May 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?$4.47May 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$24.99May 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$432.20May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$45.64May 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$324.47May 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$62.09May 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$249.66May 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$602.25May 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$36.00May 8, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$79.31May 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$11.51May 8, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$6.65May 8, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$19.94May 8, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?$129.13May 8, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$32.42May 7, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $81.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".