0xa894ea33568d17d902d8b548ca5c316cff5553da
0xa894ea33568d17d902d8b548ca5c316cff5553da
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$24.9K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-189.05
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
4131 shares @ 77.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.6K
$352.34
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
2693 shares @ 89.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.4K
$23.90
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3090 shares @ 90.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.1K
$-683.47
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
1842 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.6K
$193.32
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
1385 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-13.64
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1305 shares @ 76.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.3K
$276.85
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
1410 shares @ 70.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.2K
$244.10
- YES
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
1519 shares @ 43.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.1K
$391.94
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1110 shares @ 81.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.0K
$137.95
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
1670 shares @ 53.9¢·now 46.2¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$771.76
$-128.23
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.48May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$153.00May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$102.00May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$17.04May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$532.95May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$101.66May 17, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$3.5KMay 17, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$409.03May 16, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?$605.19May 16, 14:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.16May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$10.09May 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$100.80May 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$100.93May 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$101.16May 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$103.20May 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$103.96May 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$64.58May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$910.00May 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$13.22May 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$286.83May 15, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $225.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".