Long-Thesis
0xa89cff599d0a0c2ee13bf1bd078990d0b56e9163
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$138.68
Total PnL
$-228.28
Realised
$-20.43
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
15 shares @ 49.7¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.90
$2.45
- OVER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.30
$2.50
- OVER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.30
$2.25
- OVER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
10 shares @ 52.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.75
$2.50
- AURORA
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.00
$2.35
- YES
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.87
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.77
$-0.10
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.65
$-0.05
- UNDER
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.58
$2.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
5 shares @ 96.3¢·now 87.6¢·exp May 28, 2026$4.38
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$4.34May 23, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?$5.00May 23, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-1.5)$2.34May 23, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.00May 23, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?$5.00May 23, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$2.99May 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?$4.27May 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.34May 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5$2.60May 23, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5$2.44May 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$1.28May 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5$2.31May 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5$2.54May 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$1.48May 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)$2.29May 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5$3.17May 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$0.25May 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5$3.33May 23, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5$3.33May 23, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$3.38May 23, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".