Direct-Bandanna
0xa8c9711b15779dc60d3046c675e61998636974f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$112.64
Realised
$118.91
Win rate
86%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$692.84
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$412.17
$-692.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
814 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.14
$-0.20
- YES
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$17.89
$0.29
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
42 shares @ 16.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.43
$6.73
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
11 shares @ 32.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.88
$7.36
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 20.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.16
$3.82
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 4.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.92
$2.08
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
6 shares @ 56.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$-1.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.88May 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.00May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.65May 17, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?$0.00May 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.90May 16, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$0.00May 16, 01:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 15, 18:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$0.00May 14, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?$0.00May 14, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$0.00May 14, 05:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$8.87May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.53May 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.56May 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.29May 13, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".