Cruel-Patient
0xa8d4877be3235dd6e1a0d2f43a64ee30bb1b0a2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-831.65
Realised
$-144.82
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
900 shares @ 59.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$841.47
$306.49
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
51 shares @ 84.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$46.42
$3.20
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-6.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
250 shares @ 18.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.25
$-24.25
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 66.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.50
$-387.99
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.28
$1.17
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.80
$0.40
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
250 shares @ 7.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.35
$-13.65
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.90
$-8.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$7.65May 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$2.60May 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$138.04May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$12.07May 9, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$68.00Apr 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$0.17Apr 29, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$1.03Apr 29, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$13.97Apr 29, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$8.38Apr 29, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$142.63Apr 20, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$7.65Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.51Apr 20, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.33Apr 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$59.00Apr 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$31.16Apr 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$11.33Apr 12, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$0.00Apr 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$32.00Apr 8, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$19.96Apr 8, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $27.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".