Orange-Shallows
0xa8dcef206f432d8a764bacec8f204f45852840d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$76.71
Total PnL
$-48.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
27 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
23 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$11.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
44 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$11.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.52
$-0.48
- CELTICS
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$9.85
$4.92
- YES
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
161 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.14
$1.14
- YES
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
98 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.39
$-0.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$12.26May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$12.27May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$12.17May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$12.20May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?$4.27May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$4.15May 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score$4.00Apr 25, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)$4.00Apr 25, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-7.5)$1.00Apr 24, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-7.5)$1.00Apr 24, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $8.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".