Joyful-Destruction
0xa9bd8e44b603a61ec1aa40981835e028858c4d4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-567.20
Realised
$195.87
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
745 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$744.63
$0.37
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
539 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$528.76
$76.00
- NO
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
525 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$525.00
$63.00
- NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
353 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$353.00
$134.14
- O 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
586 shares @ 14.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$161.15
$79.11
- NO
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
70 shares @ 76.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.00
$16.66
- AL KHOLOOD SAUDI CLUB
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)
505 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-404.00
- UNDER
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
438 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-87.60
- UNCW SEAHAWKS
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
355 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-177.50
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
327 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-130.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$462.00Apr 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$144.69Apr 11, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$154.83Apr 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$161.85Apr 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$461.37Apr 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$255.96Apr 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$42.02Apr 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$58.08Apr 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$91.30Apr 9, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$14.30Apr 9, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$218.86Apr 7, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$476.85Apr 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$142.20Apr 7, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMColorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$65.00Apr 3, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)$334.00Apr 3, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$360.00Apr 3, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$79.04Mar 31, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$76.96Mar 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1575 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$76.23Mar 25, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1575 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$61.38Mar 24, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $118.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".