Smoggy-Antique
0xaab9f5e600a5dd88fe3a6f93313b180f6220a08d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$53.4K
Total PnL
$5.8K
Realised
$6.1K
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
12364 shares @ 61.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.7K
$3.1K
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12793 shares @ 49.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.0K
$1.6K
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
9460 shares @ 68.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$-308.33
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
7155 shares @ 30.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.1K
$1.9K
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
10369 shares @ 42.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$-660.00
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
3513 shares @ 61.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$866.01
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
7670 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-615.45
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
2629 shares @ 40.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.8K
$698.67
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3838 shares @ 43.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.4K
$-247.90
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110071 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-640.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$344.00May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$111.58May 18, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$24.49May 17, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.96May 17, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$95.87May 17, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$203.85May 17, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.1KMay 17, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $671.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".