Pleasing-Deck
0xaad3fa4f7750db41b83935a155304fa6e227e666
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-137.05
Realised
$139.91
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
435 shares @ 46.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$252.25
$52.25
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
422 shares @ 47.4¢·now 56.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$238.87
$38.86
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
834 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.72
$-12.28
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.92
$-23.07
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
226 shares @ 44.2¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.54
$10.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.98
$8.97
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.58
$6.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$105.00
$5.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
140 shares @ 71.5¢·now 72.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.96
$1.96
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
173 shares @ 57.8¢·now 57.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$40.00May 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$39.00May 16, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$40.00May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$100.00May 16, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.53May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.34May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.34May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$15.78May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.94May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.33May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.60May 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$50.00May 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$100.00May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$50.00May 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$100.00May 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$200.00May 15, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $80.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".