0xaaef62c5421b9ae69dbd9d99903d2f9a6d0c74ff
0xaaef62c5421b9ae69dbd9d99903d2f9a6d0c74ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.55
Total PnL
$1.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.75
$4.75
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$3.52May 4, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$0.00May 4, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$0.00May 4, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.27May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$0.00May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.30May 4, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump's tie be red on April 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Apr 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 20 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$0.00Apr 25, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".