Defiant-Patentee
0xaba3283824791c6072776b7fff02da08196c8cca
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$53.85
Total PnL
$-37.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.77
$10.77
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
9 shares @ 31.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.27
$6.35
- YES
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.07
$3.09
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$3.57
$2.57
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-03-31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.65
$1.67
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
28 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$0.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$1.75May 5, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$20.00May 5, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$4.00May 5, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$22.92May 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$1.00Apr 15, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?$2.92Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$1.00Apr 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".