Thrifty-Bonnet
0xabccc3f09783ef77eba2d31bcc4c658d09792fd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$550.30
Total PnL
$-345.99
Realised
$6.81
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
155 shares @ 64.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.33
$1.33
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
608 shares @ 16.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.27
$-5.73
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
196 shares @ 25.6¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
134 shares @ 37.3¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.64
$-1.36
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
46 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.94
$-2.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.62
$2.62
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
31 shares @ 32.6¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$11.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
11 shares @ 89.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.28
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.18May 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$5.19May 19, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Smart" or "Genius" during Coast Guard event?$5.09May 19, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?$5.04May 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?$5.10May 19, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.00May 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$30.00May 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$30.76May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$30.90May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$30.13May 18, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$51.66May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$10.00May 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$30.00May 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.17May 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$5.19May 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$30.41May 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$30.16May 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 18, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".